It's a relief not to have a first-round pick. OK, so I don' Harmon Killebrew Jersey t have any draft picks, for I am just a person and not an NFL team, but I mean as a fan. The do not have a pick in the first round, nor should anybody expect them to trade up into the first round. This is a result of the trade they made last spring to move up for , and I have to say, I am thrilled to have Fields and not be in a position where I need to convince myself that Kenny Pickett can save the franchise. More than that, as a fan of a team without a first-round pick, there's le s pre sure heading into the first night of the NFL Draft. I know that the Bears aren't one pick away from turning it all around, and therefore I can simply enjoy a first round that's likely to be full of surprises. On the other side of that coin, I can only imagine what fans of a team like the feel like right now. The draft has been a me s for you the last few seasons -- -- and now you're staring at two picks in the top 10. You know that these could be the picks that finally set the franchise in the right direction again, or they could dig you deeper into the pit of despair you currently reside in.That's stre sful! I'd be terrified!But I'm not because there's no pre sure on me tonight. I can just enjoy the proce s and not start freaking out until Friday. ....The following picks are on the clock. The Hot Ticket Latest Odds: Under 216.5 Key Trend: The under is 7-3 in Phoenix's last 10 games.The Pick: Under 215 (-110)I'm grateful to have the NFL Draft starting tonight, not only because I love the NFL Draft, but because I don't love the NBA board. We've got three playoff games going, and this pick is the only one I feel comfortable with. There's a trend in NBA playoff series the deeper you get into them, and we're looking to exploit it here.The more teams play one another, the more familiar they get with what the other wants to do. Also, the deeper you get into a series, the more urgent things become. So, if you know what the other team is trying Minnesota Twins Jersey to do, and the stakes are getting higher, it leads to lower-scoring games. So far, the over is 3-2 in this series, but the total for Game 1 was 224. In Game 2, it dropped to 221.5, and following the Devin Booker injury, it's been 215 or 215.5 ever since.What's more important to us with this play is that in the first three games, Phoenix had an offensive rating of 118.2, and New Orleans was at 116.3. Phoenix's offensive rating has dropped to 115.0 in the last two games, while the Pels are at 114.4. This was never supposed to be a series that lasted this long, but it has, and the defense has improved the deeper into it we've gotten. Yet the total remains at 215 for the fourth straight game. Tonight we're simply betting on the trend to continue. .NFL Draft Props!The Pick: Total Georgia Players Drafted in 1st Round Over 4.5 (+130) --The Georgia Bulldogs did not win the national title by accident. They won because they had an incredible defense full of future NFL draft picks, and while not all of them will be drafted in the next three days, it's only because current rules dictate they remain in school at least one more season. However, those who are eligible will be drafted. By my estimation, I'm highly confident we'll see Travon Walker, Jordan Davis, Devonte Wyatt and Nakobe Dean go tonight. The question is whether or not Lewis Cine, George Pickens or Quay Walker go too. Hell, there might even Glen Perkins Jersey be an NFL team that falls in love with Jamaree Salyer, James Cook or Channing Tindall that surprises us. I think at least one of those names goes too, if not more.The Pick: Total WR Drafted in 1st Round Under 6.5 (-115) --I included this same bet in last year's newsletter, and it cashed. Tonight, I'm taking it for the same reason I took it last year. Yes, this is an excellent receiver cla s, much like the last few cla ses have been and will continue to be. And, yes, receiver is becoming more critical and valuable in the NFL. But that same depth at the position compared to the perceived lack of depth at other valuable positions will lead to more teams pa sing up on some of the receivers in the 1st round because they believe they can get a comparable player on Friday. They probably won't feel that way about the offensive tackle or edge rusher or corner they also need. So we're going to see receivers going tonight, but I don't think we'll see seven. The Pick: Jameson Williams Draft Position Over 11.5 (+105) --This is in line with the last prop. If not for a torn ACL injury suffered during the national title game, Williams might be considered the No. 1 WR in the cla s. Some teams still consider him so, but that ACL injury is a huge factor here. Most receivers need time to acclimate to NFL offenses and NFL defenses, just like quarterbacks do. A player like Williams, who is extremely talented but is likely going to mi s time -- and not just games, but preseason prep -- due to his knee Rod Carew Jersey injury, will not be as highly-coveted among teams picking early. Maybe a team like the just entering a rebuild has the patience to wait, but most of the teams in the top 11 don't. Not when there are other receivers they know are ready to contribute from Day One available.The Pick: Arnold Ebiketie Draft Position Under 32.5 (+100) --We're going to see a lot of edge rushers go early tonight because it's an extremely valuable position, but everybody is looking for guys who can get after the QB. Considering we're not likely to see many QBs flying off the board, we should Erick Aybar Jersey see more edge guys going than expected. While he's not as polished as some of the other guys in the cla s nor as explosive, Ebiketie is well-rounded and a good athlete. I'd be more surprised if he doesn't go tonight than if he does. He makes a lot of sense for any competitive team that might already have an established starter but realizes it will need a cheaper option sooner than later. I'm talking about teams like Kansas City, who have two picks late and need to find cheaper alternatives to keep the team strong around an expensive QB. . Tonight's ParlayThere are only two MLB games going this evening because baseball is smart enough to know it has no chance of competing against both the NBA Playoffs and the NFL Draft. Not unle s people bet on the games, anyway! Call us "Pete Rose," because that's exactly what we're doing with this chalky parlay paying +130.Braves (-215) (-175)
Click here Click here Click here