We took a small step back in Week 2, hovering right around .500 after a very nice first week. Too many favorites for me last week -- all but two of the faves won outright last week, but a ton of 'dogs covered against the spread. I think we could see something similar this week, so let's dive in starting with Thursday night's Battle for Florida. If you want to see our Pick Six Podcast parlay -- now 2-0 on the season! -- and make sure and listen to the picks show when it drops on Friday. Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread:Jaguars -3 During Bengals-Browns last week, I jokingly tweeted whoever did the promo for this game must have spent the entire time recording it trying to stifle laughter. "MINSHEW! FITZPATRICK! It's Thursday Night Football ... only on NFL Network." You know what? That was wrong. I didn't realize we were going to get The Beard vs. The Mustache in an epic battle for the soul of Florida. Representing South Florida, and his epic Dad Pandemic Beard, with the a sertion that Minshew can't grow hair on his cheeks. And in the other corner, repping North Florida/South Georgia, , who was definitely not going to let some geezer Ray Ray McCloud Jersey blast him over facial hair. Man. I didnt expect the trash talk between the Dolphins and Jaguars to get this nasty. But here we are. Fitz vs Minshew. (Courtesy Fins and Jags) Clay Ferraro (@ClayWPLG) Let's get ready to . The reality of this game on Thursday night is it looks like trash on the surface, but it actually is a fantastic matchup. The Dolphins were supposed to improve on defense; they did not. Through two weeks, the Dolphins are dead last in DVOA and are giving up over 10 yards per pa sing attempt and five yards per rush on the number. You can absolutely gash them on the ground and through the air, and they're likely without this week. Jacksonville has a bunch of young talent on defense but it's going to be a hot minute before they're just locking teams down. Mix in Fitzpatrick -- the pendulum is all over the place for him -- and Minshew, who's willing to play Javon Kinlaw Jersey swashbuckler and take some chances, and we could have a similar shootout to what we got with Cincy and Cleveland last week. The pick:Jaguars 31, Dolphins 28 1 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread:Eagles -6.5 Life comes at you fast, Philadelphia. The Eagles are 0-2 and in a spot so bad we have Doug Pederson snapping at reporters on conference calls while making questionable cro s-sports analogies. Pederson on perception that Wentz mi sed easy pa ses Sunday: "Have you played football in the National Football League? ...There's not a throw out here that's a layup." Zach Berman (@ZBerm) There are some excuses here: Wentz dealt with a ton of injuries to skill-position guys and maybe even more to his offensive line before Week 1, and it carried over into Week 2 against the , who are a legitimately good football team again this year. But Wentz has been bad this year. He's and ahead of only and in QBR. Wentz has a league-leading four interceptions two games in after throwing just 21 interceptions (exactly seven per season) over the last three years combined. He's been sacked eight times and generally looks out of sorts. Wentz' 6.0 yards per attempt is the lowest Terrell Owens Jersey of his career, worse than his rookie season. PFF has him throwing , the worst in the NFL. He has produced a turnover worthy play on 9.2 percent of his throws. Yikes. A Wentz mistake dealt the Eagles a death knell on Sunday when the team was marching back to try and take the lead. Down 21-16 to the Rams, the Eagles used an RPO/play action look that offered Wentz this look at JJ Arcega-Whiteside: Whiteside had cornerback beat and there's definitely a window there, but by the time Wentz is deciding to pull the trigger, is already turning back towards the play, knowing where Wentz is going. Credit Williams for making a great play on the ball but as , he got too aggre sive trying to force a throw into that tight window. "They made a great play," Wentz said after the game. "I got out on the naked there to the left, and they had us covered pretty well. I got pretty aggre sive, tried to force one in there. Guy made a great play, so I gotta be smarter than that in that situation." Maybe he's pre sing or Raheem Mostert Jersey maybe he just doesn't have enough working around him? The coaching hasn't been great in Philly yet either. I think we see a bounce back from the Eagles (or just a bounce?) but I'm not betting against "Backdoor" catching this many points against a defense that couldn't slow down Washington in Week 1. The pick:Eagles 24, Bengals 21 1 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread: -2.5 , so I'm not going to spend too much more time praising here. He's been great this season. He improved on his biggest i sue -- accuracy -- through what looks like some mechanics changes and a ton of footwork improvements. Adding this offseason looks like a masterstroke from Brandon Beane and Sean McDermott. The badly need an additional weapon in the pa sing game and Buffalo is thriving. Allen is bombing the ball down the field at a much more accurate rate than ever before in his career. This feels like a legitimate leap forward. (And I owe Bills fans an apology for talking about their cuisine in this space last week. My bad.) Having said all that: I'm going to hit the pause button on the hype train for this week. The Rams are also in the middle of a nice little breakout/bounceback season after "only" winning nine games last year. Brandon Staley had the task of replacing Wade Phillips and he's somehow living up to it in his first year calling plays anywhere. Jimmy Garoppolo Jersey Having and helps, but this defense looks like it's going to be stout this season. Additionally, Sean McVay is peppering opposing defenses with tons of pre-snap motion and the running game is back in Los Angeles, easing the burden on . The biggest difference for me? and potentially mi sing this game after sitting out in Week 2. Without a key pair of linebackers, Sean McVay should be able to stack both in the pa s and the run in the short-yardage area. Both these offenses have been cooking this year, but I see a more methodical game happening. The pick:Rams 21, Bills 17 1 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread:Falcons -3.5 This one feels pretty easy. There's a 2-0 team on the road against an 0-2 team and the 2-0 team is a 3.5-point dog. Who do you think Vegas would prefer the majority of the public taking when they look at this matchup? Bears fans are yelling at me for calling them "fraudulent" during our Wednesday episode of the Pick Six Podcast VIDEO SHOW -- airing daily at 4 p.m. ET on CBS Sports HQ (free to watch!) unle s it's superseded by a Champions League situation -- but how can they think this is a good football team? I could see and finally connecting for a pair of touchdowns, but